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Red442
20165.9
2791204.1
3624124.6
Blue199
3360164.7
3117137.5
5202111.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425250100200300500600700442199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.10.6
202.5203.1
Auto22.2
Teleop145.5
End37.1
red by 39.4
3360
#11
164.70.0
164.7164.7
Auto21.1
Teleop119.9
End23.7
Second
20
#6
165.90.3
165.1165.4
Auto23.1
Teleop122.7
End17.1
red by 28.4
137.50.3
137.2137.5
Auto20.2
Teleop100.9
End16.6
Third
3624
#22
124.60.1
124.4124.5
Auto18.5
Teleop91.1
End13.8
red by 13.4
5202
#30
111.20.0
111.2111.2
Auto15.5
Teleop80.9
End14.9