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Red236
420399.7
5099143.0
7030109.1
Blue416
145147.8
5030163.5
6723114.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2573750100200300500600700800236416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.00.0
143.0143.0
Auto16.4
Teleop113.1
End16.1
blue by 20.5
163.50.0
163.5163.5
Auto19.1
Teleop127.6
End16.3
Second
7030
#17
109.10.0
109.1109.1
Auto14.9
Teleop83.5
End10.4
blue by 38.6
145
#9
147.80.0
147.8147.8
Auto21.4
Teleop106.8
End20.1
Third
4203
#19
99.70.0
99.799.7
Auto16.0
Teleop72.8
End12.9
blue by 15.1
6723
#24
114.90.0
114.9114.9
Auto15.3
Teleop80.0
End19.0