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Red371
6933159.6
5099143.0
5881121.2
Blue311
250133.0
1511161.9
7153113.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36128102006008001,0001,200371311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.60.0
159.6159.6
Auto23.6
Teleop118.2
End18.9
blue by 2.3
1511
#10
161.90.0
161.9161.9
Auto26.7
Teleop114.0
End21.1
Second
143.00.0
143.0143.0
Auto16.4
Teleop113.1
End16.1
red by 9.9
250
#11
133.00.0
133.0133.0
Auto17.3
Teleop99.7
End12.8
Third
5881
#22
121.20.0
121.2121.2
Auto12.2
Teleop92.3
End14.4
red by 8.2
7153
#13
113.00.0
113.0113.0
Auto17.8
Teleop80.0
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest odds79%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss odds8%Face the Boss odds