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Red468
340170.8
2791165.4
7081120.0
Blue306
319165.5
5254167.2
358125.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3303460100200400500600700468306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#3
170.80.5
170.3170.8
Auto20.8
Teleop128.4
End21.7
red by 3.6
167.20.5
166.7167.2
Auto20.6
Teleop123.0
End26.1
Second
165.40.6
164.8165.4
Auto22.0
Teleop120.2
End24.7
blue by 0.1
319
#7
165.50.4
165.2165.5
Auto18.0
Teleop123.4
End23.9
Third
7081
#13
120.00.3
120.2120.0
Auto16.2
Teleop87.9
End16.4
blue by 5.6
358
#30
125.60.1
125.4125.6
Auto16.9
Teleop96.2
End11.3