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Qual 112018 Central New York Regional
Red232
27153.4
340170.8
358125.6
Blue370
694165.0
2016138.3
145143.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3162940100200400500600232370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#3
170.89.6
119.9→129.5
Auto20.8
Teleop128.4
End21.7
red by 5.8
694
#5
165.09.5
114.1→123.5
Auto25.5
Teleop112.4
End27.6
Second
27
#16
153.46.6
126.5→133.1
Auto21.2
Teleop112.7
End22.2
red by 10.4
145
#9
143.010.4
93.7→104.2
Auto20.8
Teleop105.0
End18.7
Third
358
#30
125.67.8
94.3→102.1
Auto16.9
Teleop96.2
End11.3
blue by 12.8
2016
#22
138.37.5
109.2→116.7
Auto19.5
Teleop100.4
End19.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed