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Red262
3044137.6
358125.6
145143.0
Blue223
7081120.0
287147.5
223137.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287295100200400500262223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145
#9
143.09.3
104.2113.5
Auto20.8
Teleop105.0
End18.7
blue by 4.5
287
#19
147.54.1
122.3126.4
Auto16.2
Teleop112.1
End18.6
Second
137.68.1
108.5116.7
Auto19.4
Teleop105.5
End13.8
red by 0.2
223
#26
137.46.0
108.4114.5
Auto15.5
Teleop101.8
End21.2
Third
358
#30
125.63.9
102.1106.0
Auto16.9
Teleop96.2
End11.3
red by 5.6
7081
#13
120.010.0
90.7100.7
Auto16.2
Teleop87.9
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed