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Qual 162018 Central New York Regional
Red323
1518136.3
2016138.3
4122127.1
Blue379
340170.8
1665121.7
3003142.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308306150200250350400450323379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#22
138.37.3
116.7→124.1
Auto19.5
Teleop100.4
End19.1
blue by 32.5
340
#3
170.85.0
129.5→134.5
Auto20.8
Teleop128.4
End21.7
Second
1518
#21
136.311.1
106.1→117.3
Auto15.7
Teleop103.0
End21.3
blue by 6.5
3003
#6
142.89.5
115.1→124.6
Auto18.4
Teleop108.6
End17.2
Third
4122
#27
127.12.8
114.6→117.3
Auto18.0
Teleop90.5
End21.0
red by 5.5
1665
#15
121.74.4
103.0→107.4
Auto18.2
Teleop88.6
End18.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed