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Red263
3173115.1
223137.4
4122127.1
Blue309
2016138.3
378137.2
1450118.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311318150200250350400450500263309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#26
137.42.8
133.2136.0
Auto15.5
Teleop101.8
End21.2
blue by 1.0
2016
#22
138.30.6
137.8137.3
Auto19.5
Teleop100.4
End19.1
Second
4122
#27
127.10.0
126.7126.7
Auto18.0
Teleop90.5
End21.0
blue by 10.1
378
#18
137.21.2
140.0138.7
Auto16.5
Teleop100.5
End23.2
Third
3173
#29
115.10.1
115.0114.9
Auto15.6
Teleop87.1
End10.8
blue by 3.0
1450
#31
118.11.7
112.8114.5
Auto19.6
Teleop89.7
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed