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Red107
1665121.7
223137.4
6422138.7
Blue405
5254167.2
6300116.2
694165.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294360100200400500600107405

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6422
#12
138.71.7
137.8139.5
Auto19.1
Teleop99.3
End21.8
blue by 28.5
167.20.7
161.2161.9
Auto20.6
Teleop123.0
End26.1
Second
223
#26
137.40.7
137.7138.3
Auto15.5
Teleop101.8
End21.2
blue by 27.6
694
#5
165.00.4
162.5162.9
Auto25.5
Teleop112.4
End27.6
Third
1665
#15
121.70.1
123.2123.0
Auto18.2
Teleop88.6
End18.7
red by 5.5
6300
#33
116.21.5
117.8116.3
Auto14.7
Teleop91.1
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed