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Red370
5030124.5
514129.4
2791165.4
Blue219
3173115.1
6422138.7
2053116.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333278100200400500600370219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.42.0
160.1162.1
Auto22.0
Teleop120.2
End24.7
red by 26.7
6422
#12
138.70.3
139.5139.2
Auto19.1
Teleop99.3
End21.8
Second
514
#28
129.41.5
130.8129.4
Auto17.5
Teleop95.0
End16.8
red by 12.9
2053
#35
116.50.3
116.7116.5
Auto17.8
Teleop87.9
End10.9
Third
5030
#34
124.50.4
122.8122.5
Auto13.5
Teleop98.9
End12.8
red by 9.4
3173
#29
115.10.9
116.1115.1
Auto15.6
Teleop87.1
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed