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Quarterfinal 1-12018 Buckeye Regional
Red343
2614192.7
4150144.1
2399135.9
Blue382
1317142.8
1014157.7
6027144.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358344100200300400500600343382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#10
192.70.3
191.4→191.8
Auto29.5
Teleop138.0
End25.7
red by 35.0
1014
#11
157.70.2
156.9→157.1
Auto19.2
Teleop117.4
End21.9
Second
4150
#1
144.10.7
141.1→141.8
Auto17.6
Teleop109.1
End18.9
blue by 0.6
6027
#19
144.70.0
144.6→144.6
Auto19.0
Teleop108.5
End19.5
Third
2399
#36
135.90.3
134.7→135.0
Auto19.8
Teleop97.5
End19.3
blue by 7.0
1317
#18
142.80.5
141.4→141.9
Auto16.4
Teleop106.0
End23.6