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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Buckeye Regional
Red497
1126143.8
1592145.9
3324128.2
Blue256
4611159.2
1405148.4
3138126.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320351100200400500600700497256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1592
#3
145.90.9
143.4→144.2
Auto25.2
Teleop106.7
End17.1
blue by 13.3
4611
#31
159.20.1
159.1→159.2
Auto19.0
Teleop119.1
End21.5
Second
1126
#9
143.80.6
141.4→142.0
Auto18.2
Teleop100.5
End26.2
blue by 4.6
1405
#7
148.40.1
148.2→148.4
Auto18.3
Teleop110.6
End21.5
Third
3324
#46
128.20.0
127.9→127.9
Auto15.2
Teleop97.5
End14.8
red by 1.9
3138
#41
126.30.0
126.3→126.3
Auto16.7
Teleop96.1
End11.9