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Red323
4150144.1
1592145.9
4145181.6
Blue232
4085143.0
635591.1
2783141.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349268100200300400500600323232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.60.8
175.2176.0
Auto22.8
Teleop134.8
End23.8
red by 38.6
4085
#26
143.00.8
134.1134.9
Auto17.9
Teleop111.9
End15.5
Second
145.91.4
123.1124.5
Auto25.2
Teleop106.7
End17.1
red by 4.5
141.51.4
130.7132.1
Auto16.5
Teleop110.8
End17.2
Third
144.12.2
125.4127.6
Auto17.6
Teleop109.1
End18.9
red by 53.0
6355
#52
91.15.8
84.690.5
Auto12.2
Teleop68.6
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed