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Red478
7165120.8
1126143.8
3484136.8
Blue381
379195.4
7055118.7
3193120.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254375100200300500600700478381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.80.1
135.3135.3
Auto18.2
Teleop100.5
End26.2
blue by 51.5
379
#2
195.42.1
182.9185.0
Auto25.4
Teleop137.9
End32.6
Second
3484
#23
136.81.3
135.3134.0
Auto21.4
Teleop92.1
End27.4
red by 16.4
3193
#54
120.42.0
125.4123.3
Auto16.0
Teleop92.5
End11.3
Third
7165
#28
120.81.7
107.5109.2
Auto16.0
Teleop91.6
End18.7
red by 2.1
7055
#33
118.74.5
105.0109.5
Auto15.5
Teleop93.5
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned15%Face the Boss oddsMissed