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Qual 422018 Buckeye Regional
Red317
4150144.1
291180.8
2614192.7
Blue291
1317142.8
3314181.4
3138126.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403300100200500600317291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#10
192.71.6
187.0→188.6
Auto29.5
Teleop138.0
End25.7
red by 11.3
3314
#6
181.41.9
176.6→178.5
Auto25.0
Teleop122.5
End35.0
Second
291
#12
180.81.8
177.4→179.3
Auto24.1
Teleop135.1
End18.3
red by 37.9
1317
#18
142.81.1
141.3→140.2
Auto16.4
Teleop106.0
End23.6
Third
4150
#1
144.12.2
131.2→133.4
Auto17.6
Teleop109.1
End18.9
red by 17.8
3138
#41
126.31.0
123.1→124.1
Auto16.7
Teleop96.1
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed36%Face the Boss oddsMissed