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Red129
2010113.9
648131.1
2228118.9
Blue402
1014157.7
5030159.0
4085143.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2713880100200300500600129402

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
648
#22
131.10.2
135.1135.3
Auto16.8
Teleop99.5
End18.7
blue by 27.9
5030
#13
159.02.3
143.6145.9
Auto17.4
Teleop122.3
End21.2
Second
2228
#43
118.90.5
122.9122.4
Auto16.7
Teleop86.9
End19.3
blue by 38.8
1014
#11
157.71.0
151.0152.1
Auto19.2
Teleop117.4
End21.9
Third
2010
#49
113.92.3
116.9119.1
Auto16.9
Teleop84.0
End8.3
blue by 29.1
4085
#26
143.01.0
136.3137.3
Auto17.9
Teleop111.9
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed