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Qual 472018 Buckeye Regional
Red377
7165120.8
3591114.4
1507188.3
Blue267
2340127.4
4020159.2
1590119.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333321250300350400450377267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
#8
188.31.2
182.6→183.8
Auto23.4
Teleop132.2
End33.3
red by 29.1
4020
#14
159.21.4
151.0→152.4
Auto23.1
Teleop114.3
End22.7
Second
7165
#28
120.82.3
109.2→111.5
Auto16.0
Teleop91.6
End18.7
blue by 6.6
2340
#32
127.40.8
127.4→128.1
Auto21.1
Teleop95.3
End8.7
Third
3591
#40
114.40.4
114.8→115.2
Auto14.7
Teleop88.3
End11.0
blue by 5.4
1590
#27
119.84.4
110.4→114.8
Auto15.4
Teleop94.2
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed