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Red320
3814143.9
6964119.4
3324128.2
Blue352
1592145.9
3484136.8
4601131.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323316260280300340360380400320352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3814
#30
143.91.2
142.1143.3
Auto20.2
Teleop108.7
End15.2
blue by 2.0
145.92.2
128.9131.1
Auto25.2
Teleop106.7
End17.1
Second
3324
#46
128.20.0
127.5127.5
Auto15.2
Teleop97.5
End14.8
blue by 8.6
3484
#23
136.80.2
134.0133.8
Auto21.4
Teleop92.1
End27.4
Third
6964
#34
119.43.0
107.7110.8
Auto16.5
Teleop86.1
End18.7
blue by 12.1
4601
#17
131.55.5
113.1118.6
Auto17.8
Teleop98.0
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed