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Qual 512018 Buckeye Regional
Red312
4611159.2
1126143.8
3193120.4
Blue283
4145181.6
3314181.4
695113.1
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273411100200500600700312283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4611
#31
159.21.5
152.8→154.3
Auto19.0
Teleop119.1
End21.5
blue by 22.4
4145
#4
181.61.2
178.6→179.8
Auto22.8
Teleop134.8
End23.8
Second
1126
#9
143.80.8
135.3→136.1
Auto18.2
Teleop100.5
End26.2
blue by 37.6
3314
#6
181.41.3
178.5→179.8
Auto25.0
Teleop122.5
End35.0
Third
3193
#54
120.41.2
123.3→122.1
Auto16.0
Teleop92.5
End11.3
red by 7.4
695
#45
113.12.8
109.6→112.4
Auto17.0
Teleop81.5
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed58%Face the Boss oddsEarned