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Red197
4780112.6
6936124.2
451126.6
Blue324
2010113.9
2783141.5
1014157.7
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2653620100200300400500600197324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
451
#44
126.60.8
123.4124.2
Auto15.1
Teleop98.3
End13.1
blue by 31.1
1014
#11
157.71.0
152.1153.1
Auto19.2
Teleop117.4
End21.9
Second
6936
#50
124.20.1
126.2126.3
Auto16.4
Teleop85.0
End21.3
blue by 17.3
141.50.8
134.4135.2
Auto16.5
Teleop110.8
End17.2
Third
4780
#38
112.63.1
101.9105.0
Auto17.3
Teleop80.5
End17.2
blue by 1.3
2010
#49
113.90.8
119.1118.3
Auto16.9
Teleop84.0
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed