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Red411
6916122.1
4150144.1
5030159.0
Blue268
6460123.3
618197.0
4121131.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371252100200300400500600411268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5030
#13
159.02.0
145.9148.0
Auto17.4
Teleop122.3
End21.2
red by 28.0
4121
#16
131.10.9
124.2125.1
Auto16.2
Teleop91.5
End24.3
Second
144.11.3
133.4134.7
Auto17.6
Teleop109.1
End18.9
red by 20.8
6460
#53
123.30.4
129.6129.1
Auto18.9
Teleop87.6
End13.9
Third
6916
#39
122.14.9
112.9117.8
Auto18.0
Teleop89.3
End11.8
red by 25.0
6181
#55
97.02.2
104.4102.1
Auto15.6
Teleop73.2
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed