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Qual 662018 Buckeye Regional
Red487
4020159.2
1592145.9
1317142.8
Blue256
2399135.9
4119126.2
648131.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3862640100200300500600487256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#14
159.20.8
153.5→154.3
Auto23.1
Teleop114.3
End22.7
red by 23.3
2399
#36
135.90.1
134.4→134.2
Auto19.8
Teleop97.5
End19.3
Second
1592
#3
145.93.1
133.8→136.9
Auto25.2
Teleop106.7
End17.1
red by 14.8
648
#22
131.11.0
133.0→132.0
Auto16.8
Teleop99.5
End18.7
Third
1317
#18
142.80.2
138.6→138.8
Auto16.4
Teleop106.0
End23.6
red by 16.7
4119
#37
126.20.2
126.5→126.7
Auto15.7
Teleop96.4
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed