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Red293
3314181.4
120161.7
1758130.9
Blue369
451126.6
4085143.0
3484136.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4162630100200300500600700293369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.40.3
180.3180.6
Auto25.0
Teleop122.5
End35.0
red by 38.4
4085
#26
143.00.8
138.0138.8
Auto17.9
Teleop111.9
End15.5
Second
120
#20
161.71.9
156.8158.7
Auto22.9
Teleop119.6
End23.5
red by 24.9
3484
#23
136.80.3
134.5134.8
Auto21.4
Teleop92.1
End27.4
Third
1758
#51
130.91.6
136.3134.7
Auto16.3
Teleop100.8
End13.8
red by 4.4
451
#44
126.60.2
124.5124.7
Auto15.1
Teleop98.3
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
39%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed