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Qual 72018 Buckeye Regional
Red242
3484136.8
3324128.2
2399135.9
Blue340
6916122.1
4085143.0
3266141.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338289100200400500242340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3484
#23
136.80.7
138.7→139.3
Auto21.4
Teleop92.1
End27.4
blue by 6.2
4085
#26
143.00.2
134.3→134.1
Auto17.9
Teleop111.9
End15.5
Second
2399
#36
135.92.0
129.9→131.8
Auto19.8
Teleop97.5
End19.3
blue by 5.7
3266
#21
141.60.8
125.2→126.0
Auto18.3
Teleop101.9
End20.9
Third
3324
#46
128.21.5
126.5→128.0
Auto15.2
Teleop97.5
End14.8
red by 6.1
6916
#39
122.144.3
122.1→77.7
Auto18.0
Teleop89.3
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsMissed51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed