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Red352
1405148.4
3591114.4
4611159.2
Blue335
1014157.7
3193120.4
4121131.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3612810100200400500600700352335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4611
#31
159.21.2
156.0157.1
Auto19.0
Teleop119.1
End21.5
red by 1.5
1014
#11
157.71.0
154.0155.0
Auto19.2
Teleop117.4
End21.9
Second
148.40.5
147.3147.8
Auto18.3
Teleop110.6
End21.5
red by 17.4
4121
#16
131.11.1
125.8126.9
Auto16.2
Teleop91.5
End24.3
Third
3591
#40
114.41.6
118.0116.4
Auto14.7
Teleop88.3
End11.0
blue by 6.0
3193
#54
120.40.7
121.6120.9
Auto16.0
Teleop92.5
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed