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Semifinal 2-12018 Buckeye Regional
Red425
291180.8
379195.4
6490132.2
Blue311
1126143.8
1592145.9
3324128.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435261100200300400500600425311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#2
195.40.4
193.4→193.8
Auto25.4
Teleop137.9
End32.6
red by 49.4
1592
#3
145.90.8
145.1→145.9
Auto25.2
Teleop106.7
End17.1
Second
291
#12
180.80.1
181.2→181.1
Auto24.1
Teleop135.1
End18.3
red by 36.9
1126
#9
143.80.6
142.6→143.2
Auto18.2
Teleop100.5
End26.2
Third
6490
#29
132.20.4
130.4→130.9
Auto19.2
Teleop95.9
End17.6
red by 4.1
3324
#46
128.20.1
127.9→128.0
Auto15.2
Teleop97.5
End14.8