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Red404
4362145.3
302167.7
3397140.7
Blue294
4028158.0
3504150.8
5811128.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352304100200400500600404294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#5
167.70.8
166.9167.7
Auto16.6
Teleop133.4
End19.2
red by 9.7
4028
#22
158.00.4
157.5158.0
Auto19.4
Teleop118.7
End20.8
Second
4362
#16
145.30.3
145.1145.3
Auto18.5
Teleop111.5
End16.8
blue by 5.4
150.80.0
150.7150.8
Auto22.8
Teleop108.7
End19.8
Third
3397
#24
140.70.5
140.2140.7
Auto13.5
Teleop109.9
End18.9
red by 11.9
5811
#50
128.80.3
128.5128.8
Auto15.0
Teleop98.9
End16.5