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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Miami Valley Regional
Red363
4145160.7
3010150.7
4521126.7
Blue322
554135.6
677131.3
279128.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349306150200250400450500550363322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#8
160.70.3
161.4→161.1
Auto18.0
Teleop118.0
End21.3
red by 25.1
554
#11
135.61.1
134.5→135.6
Auto17.1
Teleop102.0
End22.4
Second
3010
#4
150.71.0
147.8→148.8
Auto20.5
Teleop112.2
End19.9
red by 19.5
677
#7
131.31.0
130.3→131.3
Auto18.7
Teleop97.4
End17.9
Third
4521
#42
126.70.2
127.0→126.9
Auto17.3
Teleop91.9
End15.6
blue by 2.2
279
#49
128.90.1
128.9→128.9
Auto15.5
Teleop98.7
End13.8