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Red236
48141.2
4362145.3
1038130.2
Blue205
5811128.8
63139.6
3266125.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3222710200400600800236205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#16
145.37.6
116.6124.1
Auto18.5
Teleop111.5
End16.8
red by 5.8
63
#17
139.68.9
104.3113.2
Auto16.7
Teleop104.3
End23.8
Second
48
#23
141.28.6
118.3126.9
Auto21.6
Teleop106.1
End12.3
red by 12.4
5811
#50
128.811.8
92.7104.5
Auto15.0
Teleop98.9
End16.5
Third
1038
#18
130.29.8
96.7106.5
Auto17.4
Teleop99.8
End16.2
red by 5.0
3266
#51
125.214.1
79.793.8
Auto15.8
Teleop93.1
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed