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Red397
302167.7
3138119.0
677131.3
Blue249
48141.2
5492128.1
4283101.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30527602004006008001,0001,200397249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#5Sur
167.77.3
117.4124.7
Auto16.6
Teleop133.4
End19.2
red by 26.4
48
#23Sur
141.24.3
126.9131.2
Auto21.6
Teleop106.1
End12.3
Second
677
#7
131.39.3
94.6104.0
Auto18.7
Teleop97.4
End17.9
red by 3.2
5492
#58
128.15.1
112.2117.2
Auto14.4
Teleop95.8
End21.1
Third
3138
#36
119.04.1
108.9112.9
Auto16.5
Teleop85.5
End18.4
red by 17.3
4283
#44
101.74.5
90.494.9
Auto13.8
Teleop76.4
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed