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Red293
291169.2
3777117.7
3940148.7
Blue231
4362145.3
3844112.5
2252128.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3122750100200400500600293231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
291
#2
169.210.7
108.3119.0
Auto23.1
Teleop120.3
End27.0
red by 23.9
4362
#16
145.33.6
124.1127.7
Auto18.5
Teleop111.5
End16.8
Second
3940
#21
148.710.1
116.4126.5
Auto17.9
Teleop109.4
End22.8
red by 19.8
2252
#37
128.91.3
119.1120.4
Auto16.7
Teleop95.9
End19.2
Third
117.76.2
95.2101.4
Auto17.6
Teleop87.7
End15.3
red by 5.2
3844
#54
112.55.7
100.4106.1
Auto16.2
Teleop85.9
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed