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Red370
3260132.7
4145160.7
6032126.2
Blue143
4121124.1
3201118.2
566797.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3162640100200400500600700370143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.710.6
120.1130.7
Auto18.0
Teleop118.0
End21.3
red by 36.6
4121
#47
124.19.8
99.2109.0
Auto16.8
Teleop85.7
End24.4
Second
3260
#52
132.75.1
115.0120.1
Auto16.8
Teleop97.9
End16.6
red by 14.4
3201
#53
118.25.1
107.8112.9
Auto16.1
Teleop88.7
End14.9
Third
6032
#45
126.22.4
98.8101.2
Auto14.0
Teleop98.7
End13.9
red by 28.8
5667
#61
97.43.1
102.4105.5
Auto14.4
Teleop78.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed