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Qual 322018 Miami Valley Regional
Red378
4145160.7
4467129.4
554135.6
Blue197
3777117.7
3260132.7
1675136.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309305200250350400378197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#8
160.710.0
130.7→140.7
Auto18.0
Teleop118.0
End21.3
red by 24.5
1675
#41
136.26.6
127.3→133.9
Auto17.2
Teleop100.2
End21.7
Second
554
#11
135.63.2
113.1→116.3
Auto17.1
Teleop102.0
End22.4
red by 3.0
3260
#52
132.76.3
120.1→126.4
Auto16.8
Teleop97.9
End16.6
Third
4467
#39
129.44.9
107.2→112.1
Auto18.2
Teleop96.2
End14.0
red by 11.7
3777
#9
117.75.0
101.4→106.4
Auto17.6
Teleop87.7
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed