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Red407
1014146.8
4362145.3
4521126.7
Blue179
4284108.8
3193136.7
1466138.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286291150200250350400450407179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1014
#15
146.87.5
113.8121.4
Auto17.4
Teleop109.6
End21.1
red by 8.4
1466
#19
138.46.4
121.0127.4
Auto20.8
Teleop102.2
End16.5
Second
4362
#16
145.32.0
127.7129.8
Auto18.5
Teleop111.5
End16.8
red by 8.6
3193
#43
136.78.6
112.8121.3
Auto16.3
Teleop105.0
End16.0
Third
4521
#42
126.72.9
107.4110.3
Auto17.3
Teleop91.9
End15.6
red by 17.9
4284
#46
108.81.9
105.3107.1
Auto15.2
Teleop88.4
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed