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Red150
1038130.2
4283101.7
5413144.8
Blue375
4611152.1
3484138.7
379174.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2323640100200300400500600150375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5413
#30
144.85.3
130.9136.1
Auto17.0
Teleop108.3
End18.0
blue by 29.8
379
#1
174.67.2
137.1144.3
Auto23.9
Teleop127.7
End25.6
Second
1038
#18
130.21.5
111.6113.1
Auto17.4
Teleop99.8
End16.2
blue by 21.9
152.18.7
117.1125.8
Auto18.5
Teleop115.9
End19.4
Third
4283
#44
101.74.0
94.998.9
Auto13.8
Teleop76.4
End13.3
blue by 37.0
3484
#12
138.76.8
111.9118.7
Auto19.9
Teleop97.3
End25.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed