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Red336
4284108.8
48141.2
302167.7
Blue280
868125.4
3324126.5
3484138.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317282100200400500336280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#5
167.77.0
132.1139.1
Auto16.6
Teleop133.4
End19.2
red by 29.0
3484
#12
138.75.1
118.7123.8
Auto19.9
Teleop97.3
End25.2
Second
48
#23
141.24.8
135.1139.9
Auto21.6
Teleop106.1
End12.3
red by 14.7
3324
#40
126.55.4
115.4120.8
Auto14.8
Teleop97.5
End15.2
Third
4284
#46
108.80.8
107.1106.3
Auto15.2
Teleop88.4
End9.4
blue by 16.6
868
#26
125.43.7
133.8130.2
Auto18.1
Teleop92.5
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed