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Red394
379174.6
6460130.5
3397140.7
Blue258
6084118.7
1559140.7
4467129.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3242800100200400500600700394258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#1
174.65.5
144.3149.8
Auto23.9
Teleop127.7
End25.6
red by 33.9
1559
#27
140.76.2
133.5139.7
Auto21.5
Teleop103.0
End17.2
Second
3397
#24
140.77.3
111.8119.1
Auto13.5
Teleop109.9
End18.9
red by 11.3
4467
#39
129.45.1
112.1117.1
Auto18.2
Teleop96.2
End14.0
Third
6460
#31
130.53.6
117.8121.4
Auto18.9
Teleop97.4
End16.2
red by 11.8
6084
#20
118.74.7
101.9106.6
Auto16.6
Teleop94.8
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed