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Red180
3193136.7
6084118.7
2603110.4
Blue378
868125.4
4145160.7
3777117.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284321100200400500180378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3193
#43
136.72.2
134.1136.3
Auto16.3
Teleop105.0
End16.0
blue by 24.0
160.71.3
157.7159.0
Auto18.0
Teleop118.0
End21.3
Second
6084
#20
118.73.3
114.3117.6
Auto16.6
Teleop94.8
End9.4
blue by 6.7
868
#26
125.42.9
128.4125.5
Auto18.1
Teleop92.5
End18.1
Third
2603
#55
110.41.4
109.1110.5
Auto14.2
Teleop82.8
End15.6
blue by 7.3
117.72.8
109.4112.2
Auto17.6
Teleop87.7
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed