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Red322
48141.2
3777117.7
4121124.1
Blue289
1466138.4
6460130.5
6765121.6
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2933140100200400500600322289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#23
141.21.7
143.3141.6
Auto21.6
Teleop106.1
End12.3
red by 2.8
1466
#19
138.41.6
136.0137.6
Auto20.8
Teleop102.2
End16.5
Second
4121
#47
124.11.1
125.3124.1
Auto16.8
Teleop85.7
End24.4
blue by 6.4
6460
#31
130.51.0
131.5130.5
Auto18.9
Teleop97.4
End16.2
Third
117.73.6
112.2115.7
Auto17.6
Teleop87.7
End15.3
blue by 3.9
6765
#29
121.60.3
121.9121.6
Auto17.9
Teleop94.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed