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Red316
379183.4
5811131.1
3324122.0
Blue253
4145177.7
4467134.1
1787104.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34229202006008001,0001,2001,4001,600316253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#9
183.40.1
183.2183.2
Auto22.4
Teleop139.6
End22.0
red by 5.7
177.70.4
176.6176.9
Auto22.2
Teleop138.9
End16.4
Second
131.10.1
131.4131.3
Auto14.7
Teleop105.3
End10.3
blue by 3.0
134.10.5
132.7133.2
Auto18.5
Teleop100.7
End16.9
Third
3324
#19
122.00.3
122.7122.4
Auto17.5
Teleop94.8
End8.7
red by 17.3
1787
#27
104.70.2
104.1104.3
Auto17.1
Teleop75.7
End13.5