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Red118
3324122.0
447165.1
1014151.0
Blue427
677140.8
4467134.1
4145177.7
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3563320100200300400500600118427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#26
165.10.0
174.2174.2
Auto19.8
Teleop122.3
End21.7
blue by 12.5
177.70.4
174.4174.0
Auto22.2
Teleop138.9
End16.4
Second
1014
#11
151.00.6
156.1155.5
Auto18.0
Teleop115.6
End15.5
red by 10.2
677
#16
140.80.1
138.5138.6
Auto19.8
Teleop101.3
End17.6
Third
3324
#19
122.00.7
132.2131.5
Auto17.5
Teleop94.8
End8.7
blue by 12.1
134.10.7
130.8130.1
Auto18.5
Teleop100.7
End16.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsMissed85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
26%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed