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Red185
6567112.8
6936126.9
4780122.2
Blue266
1038138.4
3138121.4
3484139.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2693640200600800185266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6936
#25
126.90.2
126.8127.0
Auto16.9
Teleop84.5
End27.6
blue by 12.1
3484
#15
139.01.5
136.8138.3
Auto20.6
Teleop93.5
End25.7
Second
4780
#14
122.20.1
122.1122.2
Auto17.4
Teleop85.0
End20.3
blue by 16.2
1038
#18
138.40.3
142.8142.5
Auto16.4
Teleop107.7
End12.2
Third
6567
#28
112.81.0
110.0111.0
Auto15.1
Teleop91.7
End6.7
blue by 8.6
121.40.4
126.3125.9
Auto15.8
Teleop96.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed57%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed