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Red173
4269103.4
447165.1
1038138.4
Blue328
5811131.1
3324122.0
379183.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27433802004006008001,000173328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#26
165.12.0
174.2172.2
Auto19.8
Teleop122.3
End21.7
blue by 18.3
379
#9
183.41.0
187.2186.2
Auto22.4
Teleop139.6
End22.0
Second
1038
#18
138.40.8
142.5141.7
Auto16.4
Teleop107.7
End12.2
red by 7.3
131.11.5
136.6135.1
Auto14.7
Teleop105.3
End10.3
Third
4269
#12
103.40.6
103.1103.6
Auto13.1
Teleop82.6
End8.6
blue by 18.6
3324
#19
122.02.4
131.5129.0
Auto17.5
Teleop94.8
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed27%Face the Boss oddsMissed