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Red369
3266144.1
4611162.2
3814139.3
Blue344
4145177.7
4467134.1
1787104.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3632980100200400500600700800369344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.20.0
162.0162.1
Auto19.5
Teleop126.6
End13.8
blue by 15.5
177.70.2
175.7175.9
Auto22.2
Teleop138.9
End16.4
Second
3266
#21
144.10.0
144.2144.1
Auto20.0
Teleop104.1
End17.8
red by 10.0
134.10.4
131.4131.7
Auto18.5
Teleop100.7
End16.9
Third
3814
#22
139.30.5
140.5140.0
Auto20.6
Teleop103.5
End13.1
red by 34.6
1787
#27
104.70.0
103.8103.8
Auto17.1
Teleop75.7
End13.5