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Quarterfinal 3-32018 Oklahoma Regional
Red260
1987164.1
1296168.1
5098129.8
Blue406
3931162.7
1939144.0
3660135.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373321100200400500600260406

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#2
168.10.5
167.6→168.1
Auto19.5
Teleop129.5
End20.6
red by 5.5
3931
#11
162.70.3
161.4→161.6
Auto27.9
Teleop116.7
End19.8
Second
1987
#3
164.10.6
163.5→164.1
Auto20.6
Teleop123.9
End20.3
red by 20.1
1939
#10
144.00.3
142.6→142.9
Auto17.4
Teleop109.8
End17.8
Third
5098
#17
129.80.3
129.5→129.8
Auto15.9
Teleop99.7
End14.7
blue by 5.7
3660
#49
135.50.8
132.0→132.8
Auto15.4
Teleop106.2
End14.2