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Qual 112018 Oklahoma Regional
Red159
5730114.8
680997.6
1939144.0
Blue282
3612116.3
144896.9
5550149.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2632800100200400500600159282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#10
144.02.1
146.8→144.8
Auto17.4
Teleop109.8
End17.8
blue by 5.3
5550
#7
149.30.3
138.9→139.2
Auto19.8
Teleop108.5
End23.1
Second
5730
#46
114.816.0
74.9→90.9
Auto14.8
Teleop91.7
End5.6
blue by 1.5
3612
#33
116.37.1
98.2→105.3
Auto14.6
Teleop82.1
End22.0
Third
6809
#54
97.68.0
77.7→85.8
Auto11.7
Teleop77.1
End12.9
red by 0.6
1448
#39
96.97.6
83.4→91.0
Auto15.1
Teleop77.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed