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Red302
1296168.1
6900102.2
2335111.7
Blue246
4523134.3
3931162.7
1561130.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2723260100200400500600302246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.10.4
155.8156.2
Auto19.5
Teleop129.5
End20.6
red by 5.5
3931
#11
162.70.3
157.3157.0
Auto27.9
Teleop116.7
End19.8
Second
2335
#13
111.711.9
78.290.1
Auto16.0
Teleop91.5
End2.8
blue by 22.6
4523
#19
134.31.3
137.5138.8
Auto16.0
Teleop101.6
End14.8
Third
6900
#26
102.211.9
77.789.6
Auto12.7
Teleop81.2
End12.6
blue by 28.2
1561
#23
130.310.9
89.5100.3
Auto16.2
Teleop99.9
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed