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Red213
2359148.0
1785110.9
5578128.9
Blue391
1987164.1
6026141.6
2398112.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270297100200400500213391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.00.0
141.0141.1
Auto17.6
Teleop114.6
End21.7
blue by 16.1
164.10.1
153.3153.3
Auto20.6
Teleop123.9
End20.3
Second
5578
#24
128.911.9
84.996.8
Auto14.4
Teleop99.6
End15.6
blue by 12.7
6026
#29
141.610.6
101.4112.0
Auto17.0
Teleop107.2
End17.3
Third
1785
#45
110.91.2
112.7111.5
Auto16.5
Teleop86.2
End10.3
blue by 1.7
2398
#40
112.78.6
81.489.9
Auto9.7
Teleop89.1
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed