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Qual 212018 Oklahoma Regional
Red277
3507114.2
315299.7
4523134.3
Blue137
1209112.4
6891104.2
345794.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3172070100400500600277137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4523
#19
134.30.3
138.8→139.1
Auto16.0
Teleop101.6
End14.8
red by 21.9
1209
#42
112.41.3
109.1→107.7
Auto14.7
Teleop91.2
End9.7
Second
3507
#44
114.20.4
120.1→120.5
Auto15.5
Teleop87.2
End10.0
red by 10.0
6891
#53
104.23.1
85.4→88.5
Auto15.5
Teleop75.7
End13.9
Third
3152
#36
99.74.3
89.6→94.0
Auto11.6
Teleop79.3
End10.2
red by 4.8
3457
#60
94.94.4
89.9→94.4
Auto9.5
Teleop74.7
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed