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Qual 242018 Oklahoma Regional
Red502
1296168.1
1806171.7
2795121.4
Blue225
2398112.7
2765151.6
3660135.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3512680100200400500600700502225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#5
171.70.5
155.0→154.5
Auto21.2
Teleop130.7
End21.5
red by 20.1
2765
#9
151.61.9
141.6→143.5
Auto18.8
Teleop112.4
End22.7
Second
1296
#2
168.10.8
156.2→157.0
Auto19.5
Teleop129.5
End20.6
red by 32.7
3660
#49
135.57.8
103.4→111.2
Auto15.4
Teleop106.2
End14.2
Third
2795
#27
121.46.0
103.7→109.7
Auto14.8
Teleop97.0
End8.2
red by 8.7
2398
#40
112.78.2
89.9→98.2
Auto9.7
Teleop89.1
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed